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Icthyomancy: Divining what the stretch run holds.




Jorge Cantu is gone we need to deal with it. He's not coming back and as of late he hadn't been the most stellar of performer in the field and his usual proficiency as a hitter with men on base had been a little lackluster as of late. His impressive offensive pace that Cantu set for himself in April was unrealistic and his production numbers consistently went down as the season went on.

His replacement, most likely a Wes Helms, Bonerface platoon with a smattering of Hector Luna until Chris Coghlan returns will give the Fish a different dimension of speed on the bases and better defensive awareness at the "hot corner"

When Coghlan returns the Marlins lineup will have its lineup back to normal and Hanley will be able to return to the 3 hole and have the proper protection that he needs by hitting in front of Uggla. But for now having Hanley hit lead off is the best solution to setting the table until Coghlan comes back.

Scoring runs has never been the problem except for some stretches this season, the real problem has been the pitching, especially the bullpen.

Will Ohman is a massive improvement over Taylor Tankersley, Tank can't get anybody out and with Adam Dunn, Brian McCann, Ryan Howard and Ike Davis in this division the need for somebody to come out of the bullpen and effectively get left handers out is imperative.  In that department things look positive.

JJ, Ricky and Anibal have all been pluses out of the rotation giving  quality starts every time out.  With JJ being in the running for the Cy Young, at least based on his ERA and value to his team

If Chris Volstad pitches like he did today after working on his stuff and approach in New Orleans, Chris can be a positive like he was down the stretch in the 2008 season.

Whoever replaces Sanabia and Robertson, will definitely be better. If the starters pitch better and the bullpen is less taxed, it will be more effective like it was on Friday night.  Hensley, Veras, Nunez and the Hopper can be effective they've proven so.

So after looking into the guts of a dead marlin laying on the floor of my garage and peering deeply into its liver and seeing its clear as crystal. This is what the future holds. 36-22, which would work out to 89 wins. They'll be in the running but it'll come down to whoever loses the central or the San Francisco Giants.

Poll
Where will the Marlins finish this season.
Win the NL East/
1 votes
Win the Wild Card
4 votes
2nd in the NL East no WC
3 votes
3rd in the NL East
13 votes
4tth in NL East
2 votes

23 votes | Poll has closed

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were still in this....

hopefully Cogs recovers quick and the bullpen gets their act together

by xquiles21x on Aug 2, 2010 11:07 AM EDT reply actions  

i have faith left

i think some big keys are Mike Stanton staying productive (which is not hard to fathom), the 5th starter situation getting worked out… 4th for that matter… i believe that West and Volstad will be productive in the second half, and the top half (JJ, ricky, anibal) will continue to be very productive. Obviously the bullpen has and will be a key factor, but i see only improvement from here on out.

I will predict more than 89 wins… maybe 91,92ish. Like last year, i think the fish will make a push, possibly lead the wild card for a few days, and then fall off.

Thats my realistic prediction
My homer/fanboy prediction is that the Fish lead/tie division lead for a short time, then drop back and win the wildcard by a game.

either way, it will be fun to watch

by Bourbon Meyer on Aug 2, 2010 5:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Honestly...

We have virtually no shot at making the playoffs this year, not without the entire team showing improvements.

If you look at the pitching staff, it’s pretty messed up. JJ has had struggles ever since coming back from the All-Star break, and while I’m confident he’ll right the ship, I’m not confident the offense will support him during that period. Ricky is pitching like a fiend, but he tends to get left in the game too long and has had atrocious fly-ball luck this season. Anibal still has trouble with pitch efficiency, often letting himself go over 100 pitches by the 6th inning (which is concerning, given his history with injuries). Volstad has similar issues as Anibal, but also lacks the control you’d like out of a sinkerball pitcher. And well, that fifth spot, whether it’s Sanabia, Robertson, West, Miller, Badenhop, or someone else, will not be productive enough to position the team for winning performances. Plus, the bullpen (outside of Hensley and Nunez) has been mediocre at best, heart-attack inducing at worst, this season.

The offense has its share of issues, too. Gaby has been a very surprising success at first base, but he may begin to wear down as the season stretches into September. Uggla’s been carrying the team for the past month, but don’t expect his hot streak to last forever (though I think he’s improved quite a bit this year). Hanley’s been slumping all year, culminating in an absolutely horrid July. Third base has been a weakness all year, and unless Coghlan takes it over upon his return (and plays it well and doesn’t further aggravate his injury), or Donnie Murphy surprises us all, it will continue to be. Cody has been solid as he ever is this season, but Stanton and LoMo’s growing pains will probably prevent them from being anything above average this season.

With the NL West in a four-team race, the NL Central a toss-up between the Reds and Cardinals, and the NL East looking as tight as ever, I just think the Fish have nothing more than an outside chance, about 5% at most.

Chris Coghlan is the 2009 NLRoY (that's a +1 for me!)
Josh Johnson for the 2010 NL Cy Young!

by ocelotfox on Aug 2, 2010 8:23 PM EDT reply actions  

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