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Final Standings Prediction

 

I'm not sure if this is going to work at all, because I've never tried to post from excel to here.  ANYWAY, work is a bit slow today so I tried to figure out, based on past performance this season, how the teams that matter to us most right now will finish up.  It is no secret the Giants have the hardest schedule and the Marlins not necessarily the easiest.  The Rockies have the way paved with gold as the easiest schedule.

Star-divide

Anyway, I hope this is wrong, but based on winning percentage vs games remaining this season, the Marlins end up finishing just shy of the NL East and Wild Card - 2nd place in both.  Some of the numbers don't add up to 162, because of the rounding Excel did, but it doesn't effect much.

I have come up with the keys to spoiling the odds, however.  If we can do this, we can win!

Shutting out the Pads again
Actually beating the Braves
Getting back to 1st half form vs Nats
The Mets continuing to be hurt
Cody Ross not letting the ball go through his legs vs. the Cards
Continuing where we left off vs. the Phils

 

 

Playoff Odds Based on This Season Forecast
Team Opponent # of Games Wins Losses Winning % Wins Losses
Marlins Pads 3 3 0 100.00% 3 0
Braves 7 6 5 54.55% 4 3
Nats 6 9 3 75.00% 5 2
Mets 6 7 5 58.33% 4 3
Cards 3 1 2 33.33% 1 2
Reds 3 2 1 66.67% 2 1
Phils 6 5 7 41.67% 3 4
Total 34 33 23 58.93% 20 14
Current 67 60
Final 87 74
Rockies Giants 6 7 5 58.33% 4 3
Mets 3 1 3 25.00% 1 2
Dbags 7 6 6 50.00% 4 4
Reds 3 3 0 100.00% 3 0
Pads 6 8 4 66.67% 4 2
Cards 3 4 0 100.00% 3 0
Brewers 3 3 0 100.00% 3 0
Dodgers 3 3 12 20.00% 1 2
Total 34 35 30 53.85% 18 16
Current 72 56
Final 90 72
Giants Rox 6 5 7 41.67% 3 4
Phils 3 3 1 75.00% 2 1
Brewers 3 3 3 50.00% 2 2
Pads 6 5 7 41.67% 3 4
Dodgers 6 5 7 41.67% 3 4
Dbags 6 8 4 66.67% 4 2
Cubs 4 1 1 50.00% 2 2
Total 34 30 30 50.00% 17 17
Current 69 59
Final 86 76
Braves Fish 7 5 6 45.45% 3 4
Phils 6 8 4 66.67% 4 2
Nats 7 7 4 63.64% 4 3
Reds 3 3 3 50.00% 2 2
Astros 3 1 2 33.33% 1 2
Cards 3 1 2 33.33% 1 2
Mets 6 7 5 58.33% 4 3
Total 35 32 26 55.17% 19 16
Current 67 60
Final 86 76
Phillies Fish 6 7 5 58.33% 4 3
Braves 6 4 8 33.33% 2 4
Astros 8 1 1 50.00% 4 4
Giants 3 1 3 25.00% 1 2
Nats 6 10 2 83.33% 5 1
Mets 4 9 5 64.29% 3 1
Brewers 3 3 4 42.86% 1 2
Total 36 35 28 55.56% 20 16
Current 73 52
Final 93 68

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Comments

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I hope...

The fish have gotta step up their game.. I think we need a vet starter (such as penny) in order to keep our hopes alive.. We can’t win games if we start the game down by three. The pens sufficient and we have a three man rotation right now.. We need to address that if we want to win.

by Pepsidude95 on Aug 31, 2009 2:59 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

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