Blame Cody, Uggla, and Ricky

by nny on May 14, 2009 7:36 PM EDT

Going by runs created

If Uggla played the way he's "suppose" to (career line of .258/.338/.481), he'd add 8 more runs. If Cody did (.255/.315/.476), that's 9 more.

If ricky pitched the way he was suppose to (FIP 4.34, career ERA 4.49), we'd have 16 less runs against.

That also isn't then including the fact that Cody and Uggla would have more PA and Ricky would have more IP.

That would then put us at 176-156 RS-RA instead of 159-172. We currently have a .461 Pythagorean win % (16-19 current record, 74 win season). If they were right, we'd have a .560 (19-16 current record, 90 win season).

When it comes to our offense, we knew what we were getting out of Boniacio and we knew there was a decent sized chance Maybin would fail. We knew Anibal and Miller were questionmarks. Optimistically, we could look at us as being a mid-90's team. Looking at those 4 to fail, we'd probably be a mid-80's team.

Having all 4 of those fail, plus having 3 good regulars have the bottom taken out beneath them is what's put us on this slide.

If Uggla goes back to .800+, cody goes back to 800+, Ricky goes back to sub-4 the rest of the way, we should still be fine. Some breaks go our way and we'd be better than fine. And based off how they're "doing" (cody and uggs hit LDs and such, Ricky still King and not BBing guys, ect), I think they can go back to those things.

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This post makes my head hurt....

The only numbers I care about are that the Marlins are 2 games out of first place going into the Mets game tonight, even though they have lost 17 of thier last 23.
The NL East is full of flawed teams, and each one is just one good week away from claiming first place.
Things haven’t been good of late, for sure. But there is plenty of time to right the ship.

by Fishfins on May 14, 2009 10:08 PM EDT reply actions

It just upsetting that there was no contingency plan..

… Maybin isn’t ready, which was a strong possibility, and now we have 2b playing left field
… Anibal and Miller got hurt, and now we have minor leaguers who probably aren’t ready in the rotation
… Bonifacio has 2 faces, ones good and the other bad, and you never know which you will get
… Hermida is just a bust.

Long and short of it is we’ve had a terrible stretch, but Fishfins is right, it’s only May and we’re only 2.5 out of 1st place. What worries me is the Wild Card is further out of reach, and that there seems to be nobody in the system ready to step in when we need it the most (like cabrera and willis did 6 years ago). Hurk is hurt, Gaby might not be ready, Tucker is hurt, Maybin just can’t handle MLB pitching yet (though I blame that on his spot in the order and being over aggressive).

by jrsyeagle on May 15, 2009 8:58 AM EDT reply actions

Coghlan

I’m not sure if he’s in the outfield because there’s just no one else to play, or if the team badly wanted his bat in the lineup and figured he could learn the position without great difficulty. But yeah, when your top outfield sub is there purely for glove purposes only, it’s a little disconcerting.

As for the starting pitching, I’m really surprised about that. I realize that the cubpoard has been emptied a bit over the years with Johnson, Nolasco, Olsen, Sanchez and Volstad making it. But man, did you ever think there would be a day when we’d be this desperate for Rick VandenHurk to get healthy?

Are there no stopgap starters who’d absorb some innings for us on the cheap? Heck, is it time to call Pedro’s agent back?

by Fishcrazy on May 15, 2009 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions

stopgap free-agent starters, that is. (And I agree that Byrd's not a bad idea.)

by Fishcrazy on May 15, 2009 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions

i'd go with byrd

if he brought his price down. Pedro goes 5 innings if you’re lucky. You know that you’re atleast getting 6 IP out of byrd. If we’re getting a 5 ERA from our 5 starter, I atleast want him to eat innings to save our bullpen.

www.marlinsbaseball.com
www.tealandblack.net

by nny on May 15, 2009 8:02 PM EDT reply actions