Emilio Bonifacio: The Audacity of Hope
This might seem like a far-fetched idea, but I'm sure there were at least a few people who were disappointed when The Bonifacio Experiment™ finally ended last season. You know, like... maybe some of the members of Emilio's immediate family.
If you were one of those three people, our friend JCR at the Sun Sentinel has dug deep into the Bill James Handbook to find a reason for you to be filled with hope.
The manufactured runs section of the Bill James Handbook offers a pretty good indication of why the Marlins stuck with Bonifacio, and why come spring training they'll give him every opportunity to play himself into the starting lineup again.
Among National League players, only Michael Bourn (47) had a higher manufactured runs contribution than Bonifacio (32), who ranked ahead of David Wright (31), Dexter Fowler (29), Troy Tulowitzki (27), Matt Kemp (27) and Hanley Ramirez (27).
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Thanks mostly to Bonifacio, Ramirez, and Chris Coghlan, who was third on the team with 21 manufactured runs, the Marlins ranked fifth in the NL with 169 manufactured runs. Ahead of them: the Mets (181), Reds (173), Dodgers ( 172) and Rockies (172). For the Marlins, that's a huge improvement over 2008, when they finished second-to-last in the majors with 125 manufactured runs, ahead of only the Padres (104). The Marlins in 2009 were considerably less dependent on home runs and extra-base hits.
So I guess if there's a positive side to being an out machine, it's being a productive-out machine. And if manufactured runs contribution can make up for his OBP and, well, everything else, the Marlins may have reason to continue The Bonifacio Experiment™ next season.
Or at the very least, we have one less reason to complain about it.
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Not sure how I feel...
I don’t expect him to turn into Juan Pierre or Rickey Henderson overnight but he seriously needs to improve. There were a couple of at-bats this year where he looked like he never played baseball in his life
by Shaft86 on Nov 19, 2009 12:53 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
If he's going to be back...
I hope someone will teach him how to bunt this off season.
by LadyFish on Nov 19, 2009 6:17 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
well he was an awesome baserunner
He had his moments. Like when he scored from first on that bloop single from Hanley, or when against the Orioles he stole second and then scored on a bad throw. Always seemed to score from 2nd on base hits as well. If somehow he can learn how to be a successful base stealer and get his OBP up to at least .315, then you have some decent production.
by tdp992 on Nov 19, 2009 6:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
.315 would not be enough
I don’t think he can be good if he isn’t up to around league average (.330). At .330/.320 SLG, that’s a wOBA of around .304, which is still awful but more like 15 runs worse than average. I think he can gain eight of those runs back on the bases. Then he’s a much more palatable -7 runs.
He’d still have to be a damn good fielder to be worth it, but I suppose the team could do a lot worse at that point.
Marlin Maniac, a Florida Marlins blog
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Check me out at Beyond the Box Score as well.
by SFiercex4 on Nov 20, 2009 12:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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